Pavel K. Baev
, PhD, is the research director and a professor at the Peace Research Institute Oslo. He is also a senior non-resident fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC and a senior associate research fellow at the Institut Français des Relations Internationales in Paris. He has...
- Turkey as a humanitarian actor: the critical cases of Somalia and Syria
Pinar Tank , 17 March 2015
- Africa’s pre-eminent peacemaker? An appraisal of South Africa’s peacemaking role in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Milfrid Tonheim , Gerrie Swart , 6 February 2015
- African development: what role do the rising powers play?
Elling N. Tjønneland , 23 January 2015
- Conflicting dilemmas: economic growth, natural resources and indigenous populations in South America
María A. Guzmán-Gallegos , 3 November 2014
- Brazil’s involvement in peacekeeping operations: the new defence-security-foreign policy nexus
Monica Hirst , Reginaldo Mattar Nasser , 30 September 2014
- The discursive articulation of the concept of the “rising power”: perceptions, stances and interests in Brazil, Russia and Turkey
Licínia Simão , Teresa Almeida Cravo , André Barrinha , Reginaldo Mattar Nasser , 24 September 2014
- South America’s economic and political landscape: recent developments and trends
Alcides Costa Vaz , 17 September 2014
Russia’s attempts to gain a status boost from the G20 chairmanship
Pavel K. Baev, 21 August 2013
Russia has invested great efforts in profiling its role as G20 chair and increasing international focus on this organisation. Moscow seeks to exploit this role to boost its international status and thus to prepare for a confident chairing of the G8 in 2014. The expectations for meaningful results from the September G20 summit in St. Petersburg remain low, but it will probably run smoothly and receive high marks for good organisation.
Acknowledging the diminishing relevance of energy security, Moscow has shaped the lengthy summit agenda around the key theme of “growth and jobs”, focusing on the question of investments. The intention is to establish that Russia belongs not to the crisis-affected West, but to the group of dynamic “emerging powers”. This proposition is weakened by the current slowdown of Russia’s economy and the deterioration of the investment climate in the country, which has caused a sustained outflow of capital.
The St. Petersburg summit is intended to demonstrate the restored effectiveness of President Putin’s political control. Political stability in Russia is nevertheless precarious. The authorities could try to suppress street protests in early September with disproportionate force. Moscow expects to harvest dividends from staging a problem-free summit, but Russia’s economic weakness and accumulating political discontent could derail the “show”.