Pavel K. Baev
, PhD, is the research director and a professor at the Peace Research Institute Oslo. He is also a senior non-resident fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington, DC and a senior associate research fellow at the Institut Français des Relations Internationales in Paris. He has...
- Turkey as a humanitarian actor: the critical cases of Somalia and Syria
Pinar Tank , 17 March 2015
- Africa’s pre-eminent peacemaker? An appraisal of South Africa’s peacemaking role in the Democratic Republic of Congo
Milfrid Tonheim , Gerrie Swart , 6 February 2015
- African development: what role do the rising powers play?
Elling N. Tjønneland , 23 January 2015
- Conflicting dilemmas: economic growth, natural resources and indigenous populations in South America
María A. Guzmán-Gallegos , 3 November 2014
- Brazil’s involvement in peacekeeping operations: the new defence-security-foreign policy nexus
Monica Hirst , Reginaldo Mattar Nasser , 30 September 2014
- The discursive articulation of the concept of the “rising power”: perceptions, stances and interests in Brazil, Russia and Turkey
Licínia Simão , Teresa Almeida Cravo , André Barrinha , Reginaldo Mattar Nasser , 24 September 2014
- South America’s economic and political landscape: recent developments and trends
Alcides Costa Vaz , 17 September 2014
Russia assumes and exploits the chairmanship of the G20
Pavel K. Baev, 8 February 2013
Russia’s plans for chairing the G20 in 2013 go further than staging a pompous summit in St Petersburg similar to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Vladivostok in September 2012. Russian leadership feels an acute need to re-establish a solid international profile eroded by the evolving domestic crisis, which undermines the credibility of Putin’s regime.
Russia acknowledges the imperative of focusing on economic matters but cannot make much use of its advantage of the major energy exporter because the energy security agenda has declined in importance. There is little understanding in Moscow of how to combine the financial deliberations with the agenda of growth and jobs.
The G20 might find itself compelled to respond to an urgent international crisis, Syria being the most probable case. In such unscheduled discussions, Russia would prefer to side with the emerging powers and seek to exploit their dissatisfaction with the dominance of the West in international institutions.
The development and execution of Russia’s intentions in presiding over the G20, and the specific implications for Norway, will be examined in the research report produced in the middle of the one-year term as chair.